Red Flags in UK Startup Filings: A Risk Guide
Startup failures don't happen overnight. Angel investors and syndicates can identify financial distress early by knowing which Companies House filings and market signals indicate trouble. This guide shows you how to spot red flags before committing capital.
Critical Red Flags in Companies House Filings
1. Late or Missing Filings
Companies House penalties for late filings are a key warning signal.
What to check:
- Confirmation statements: Must file annually. More than 6 months overdue is critical
- Annual accounts: Due within 9 months of year-end. Delays suggest accounting or cash flow problems
- Dissolution notices: Companies dissolved or struck off indicate company has ceased operations
Why it matters to investors:
Late filing penalties compound. Directors facing penalties rarely resolve financial problems quickly. Multiple years of penalties suggest serious governance issues or inability to afford accountant fees.
Risk level: High—often precedes insolvency within 12-18 months.
2. Director Resignations and Removals
Sudden leadership changes can signal internal disputes or financial distress.
What to check:
- Founder exits: Founding director resigning unexpectedly (search LinkedIn for context)
- Mass resignations: Multiple directors leaving within 3 months
- Removal from office: Companies House form TM02 indicating removal (often by creditors)
- New administrators: New directors with "Administrator" or "Receiver" titles
Why it matters to investors:
- Founder exit = loss of key team member, potential cap table disputes
- Multiple exits = shareholder conflict or impending insolvency
- Administrator appointment = company in formal distress
Risk level: Medium-High—requires investigation into why directors left.
3. Negative Financial Trends in Accounts
Review filed accounts over 2-3 years to spot deterioration.
Red flag patterns:
- Declining turnover: Revenue falling year-over-year without clear plan to recover
- Mounting losses: Net losses increasing despite founder efforts
- Cash depletion: Cash balance dropping rapidly with no new funding disclosed
- Growing debts: Liabilities increasing while assets shrink
- Net liabilities: Company technically insolvent (debts exceed assets)
Why it matters to investors:
These signals indicate business model problems or failed product-market fit. Without disclosed funding to support burn rate, company will fail within months.
Risk level: High—direct sign of financial distress.
4. Undisclosed Debt and Charges
Companies House charges register shows secured debt obligations.
What to check:
- New charges: Mortgages or secured loans registered recently
- Multiple charges: Different lenders suggest struggling to secure favorable terms
- Charge increases: Growing debt-to-value ratios
- Fixed charges on IP: Lenders taking security over core assets indicates distress lending
Why it matters to investors:
- Unsecured investors (equity holders) are last in line if company fails
- Bridge loans indicate cash emergency
- Multiple lenders suggest company couldn't secure favorable terms
Risk level: Medium—depends on relative seniority of equity to debt.
5. PSC and Share Structure Changes
Sudden ownership or control changes may indicate disputes or forced restructuring.
What to check:
- Founder PSC removal: Original founder no longer listed as owning >25%
- Recent additions: New corporate PSCs registered shortly before fundraising
- Share dilution: Excessive preference shares issued
- Nominee PSCs: Opaque corporate ownership structures
Why it matters to investors:
- Founder dilution without explanation suggests forced restructuring
- Corporate PSCs can hide disputes or creditor actions
- Preference shares mean equity investors are subordinate
Risk level: Medium—requires investigation into circumstances.
Market Signals That Confirm Financial Stress
Hiring Activity Freeze
Monitor LinkedIn and job boards regularly.
What to watch for:
- No hiring for 3+ months: Budget constraints or uncertainty about runway
- Mass layoffs: Company in emergency cost-cutting mode
- Removal of job posting: Rescinded offers indicate financial changes
- Salary reduction postings: Founder pay cuts before layoffs
Investor implication: Early sign of cash crisis, likely to result in emergency funding or shutdown.
Negative Press and Legal Issues
Search for regulatory or legal problems.
Red flags:
- Regulatory fines or warnings: GOV.UK, FCA, or ICO penalties
- Employment tribunal notices: Unpaid wage disputes public record
- Supplier payment disputes: News about non-payment to vendors
- Customer complaints: Negative mentions in industry press about service failures
Why it matters: External pressure amplifies internal cash flow problems.
Employee Sentiment Deterioration
Check Glassdoor and employee social media.
Warning signs:
- Low Glassdoor scores: Sudden drop in rating suggests recent problems
- Leadership criticism: Negative reviews specifically about founder/CEO decisions
- Salary/payment issues: Employees posting about late wages on Twitter
- Recruitment slowdown: Long-standing open roles showing they can't hire
Investor implication: Talent leaving indicates founder knows problems exist but may not disclose.
Investor Due Diligence Checklist for Risk Assessment
Before backing a startup, verify:
- ✅ Filing compliance: No late or missing Companies House documents in past 2 years
- ✅ Financial trajectory: Revenue growth or clearly funded path to profitability
- ✅ Cash runway: Sufficient months of cash disclosed or in accounts
- ✅ Founder stability: No recent director changes, PSC removals, or equity dilution
- ✅ Debt transparency: No undisclosed charges or bridge loans
- ✅ Team momentum: Active hiring, positive employee sentiment, founder still engaged
- ✅ Cap table clarity: No nominee PSCs or complex structures hiding disputes
Red flag threshold: 3+ concurrent warning signs = pass or request detailed explanation.
Real-World UK Startup Collapse Examples
Example 1: Filing Neglect Warning (Typical Pre-Seed Stage Failure)
Companies House signals:
- Confirmation statement 8 months overdue
- No accounts filed for 2 years (threshold for micro-entity exemption exceeded)
- Founder director still listed but no social media activity
Market signals:
- No job postings for 6 months
- Founder LinkedIn last updated 10 months ago
Outcome: Likely dissolved within 12 months, customer deposits lost.
Investor lesson: Don't ignore filing delays—they signal deeper problems.
Example 2: Hidden Debt Crisis
Companies House signals:
- Accounts show £500k cash, but two charges registered for £300k total
- New charge registered 2 months ago for £150k
- Director changes: investor-appointed directors added to board
Investor implication: Cash position is misleading. Secured lenders paid before equity.
Outcome: Company eventually wound up, equity worthless.
Investor lesson: Check charges register, don't trust cash position alone.
Example 3: Founder Conflict Signal
Companies House signals:
- Original founder PSC (60% ownership) removed
- New corporate PSC registered (investor-controlled entity)
- Founder remains director but resignations filed 2 weeks later
Market signals:
- Founder job posting for "CEO role"—indicating search replacement
- No public statement explaining founder departure
Outcome: Founder dispute, likely value destruction or forced acquisition.
Investor lesson: Sudden PSC changes indicate conflict, investigate immediately.
Tools for Monitoring Startup Risk
Free resources:
- Companies House API: Set up alerts for filings, director changes
- LinkedIn company tracking: Monitor team growth and hiring
- Google Alerts: Track news and press mentions
- Crunchbase: Cross-reference funding claims vs. filings
Investor syndicates should automate monitoring for portfolio companies to catch early warning signs.
Passing vs. Failing Pre-Investment Risk Screening
Pass (Low risk for due diligence):
- All filings on time for 2+ years
- Founder(s) remain directors with stable equity
- Accounts show growth or disclosed funding path
- Active team and positive market signals
Fail (Walk away):
- Any late filings in past 18 months
- Founder removed as director or PSC diluted unexpectedly
- Accounts show declining revenue with no new funding
- Multiple charges registered recently
- Negative press about legal issues
Summary
Early-stage investors can assess UK startup risk by monitoring Companies House filings and market signals:
- Filing compliance: Late or missing accounts are critical warning signs
- Leadership stability: Unexpected director/PSC changes indicate disputes
- Financial trajectory: Declining revenue without funding path leads to failure
- Debt load: Undisclosed charges reduce equity value
- Team momentum: Hiring freezes and founder disengagement precede collapse
These checks help angels and syndicates avoid obvious distressed situations before committing capital.
Ventur compiles filings, sentiment, and market data into a single, evidence-linked report for angels and syndicates. Request a free risk assessment.
Questions? Email hello@venturhq.co.uk